May 3, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mae Never No (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Give Me a Hug | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abyssinian | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lonely Road | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairfield | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Birds | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | C K Dexter Haven | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Change of Venue | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bridey’s Kitten | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Lassie Go | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Cat Sam | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gio Lucky | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justinspeightofit | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Almithmaar | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Earned Success | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Money Dance | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Me the Bucks | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimateenticement | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factor This | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Limit Babe | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Honey | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toonie Loonie | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Passion | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smack | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Better Yet | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Small Row Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lil Renegade | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Soxy Ruby | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Loose | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Da Wildcat Girl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Cake Is a Lie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Special Dividend | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slam Chowder | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Milaya | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bowl of Kisses | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magari | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Consubstantial | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiffany’s Vision | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Sunday | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | U. S. A. Sweetie | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Alana | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Possebility | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Chilly Bon Bon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Conquest Bigluck E | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cloud Control | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bar None | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avast Matey | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Bunyaan | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Taoiseach | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cause I’m Alex | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Emperor | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Unbridledadventure | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zenbennie | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Vortex Road | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Jen | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puparee | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talkn Til Midnight | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eighth Commandment | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Formal Event | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Action | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Alien Invasion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Go Big Or Go Home | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Fact Check | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Regrets | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fortythreeoeight N | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Jegos Fire | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Source Control | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopper Dropper | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blinded Vision | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun for Hire | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.