May 1, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cape Cod Sun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Worktab | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gran Fortress | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diane’s Outlaw | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Drinking Rules | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brown Bear | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord of Misrule | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Anthony | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Clemen | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Racey Bike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Survive | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Huachuca | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Find the Money | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Ring | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Slingshot | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gobi | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Listen | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hearty Jones | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Had Enough | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iwishirish | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exotic Appeal | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hallucination | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Viva Nevada | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Miss | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Dandy Lion | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chelios | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruble | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conscience | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Morning Guys | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baduke | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Down With the King | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Bucks | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Estrickator | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Little Cherie | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Celesse | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Princess | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rainbows Ahead | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whogoosedthemoose | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superling | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mother Ginger | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosie’s Notion | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Garden Games | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | They Shot Sonny | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flashonforty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Mist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Matter of Factor | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 1 | Tempestuous Angel | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Adirondack Dream | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Fiery Opal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Arrecife | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Road Guard Post | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Talented Max | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Big Lie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vindictive Ways | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dothraki Sea | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Strike | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stella B. | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B B’s Busted | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grazen Honor | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candies Hide Away | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Checkbouncin Billy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Afleet Tizzy | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Well Acquainted | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Avalon | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rosie P | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Cocktail | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skyline Drive | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Delightful Lana | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Play Me a Memory | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sensational Toy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweets Galore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | She’s Sassy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wildly Good Lookin | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gadwall | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Henrietta | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Dayna Lee | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Mamacita | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wink for Me | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dudes Rockin Lady | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shakesperian Dream | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Faithinvictoria | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chapel Gap | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.