April 28, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mraseel (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | An Eddie Surprise | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Masterpiece | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cute Knows Cute | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Gypsy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Theodosia | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger Mom | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Millie Joel | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Juliet | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proudly Elegant | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Borg | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chiksika | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Sun | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Over Promised | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Rebel | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Seeker | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain N. Barron | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catability | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Downside Up | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fender Bender | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fabrication | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bless His Heart | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Quick | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tre | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soft Trip | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Picado | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Santa Barbara S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucy De | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plein Air (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Causeforcommotion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Space Cadet | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Blossom (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Californian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Dorr | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Lieutenant | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soi Phet | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Arabia | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Road | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kristi’s Copilot | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hootie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mesut | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Train | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acker | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marckie’s Water | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jungle Warfare | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Liberty Jack | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pappou | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Curlin | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dad’s a Gambler | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reverend Al | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Echelon | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Squared Squared | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Upo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Forecheck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jimmy Chila | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rumpus Cat | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capall | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Englander | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blitzkrieg | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Buzzkill | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Passionate Reward | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Belden Avenue | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Agent Bond | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Malibu Magic | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Rooster | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breakers Isle | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Got an Obsession | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Miss Ricochet | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coco Kisses | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Loving Lynda | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dee Way to Go | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Magnolia’s Hope | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fight Lika Girl | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Crush | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Duranga | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Charm | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cow Dog | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Estherfourfourteen | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beat the Bushes | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allie’s Love | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Diva | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magicalchic | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Secreto Primero | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skelton Pass | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reign On (GB) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Yes Yes | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | General Ike | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Calvert Street | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | South Americain | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Executive Cat | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Daddyo | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pick One | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.