April 27, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ransom Note | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blame Us All | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missle Bomb | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Hitter | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swift One | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Buzz | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caniform | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nut Nut | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mercurian | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Bling It | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Kiss | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jordy’s Ready | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buy for Less | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seattle Frost | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flying Pleasantly | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Way Over Budget | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Annie | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paula’s Pistol | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dune Buggy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rahy’s Bandit | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Connie A | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stars Wilburn | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hug the Rail | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stop Thinking | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pana Elianne | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geranium | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carlisle Belle | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sardonyx | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spa Angel | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Squeeze | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gentle Annie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mommy | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Courageous Change | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Affirmed Success S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eye Luv Lulu | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weekend Hideaway | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pat On the Back | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loki’s Vengeance | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsum Johnny | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caledonian | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cats Halo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | The Cake Is a Lie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Spring Folly | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Saratoga Treasure | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Canoe | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Way Smart | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baronet | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Discreet Image | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Groton St Scout | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laura’s Patriot | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Dreams Are Pazible | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carry Your Heels | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silly Sister | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sandy Belle | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wilburnmoney | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Won Love | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playinwiththeboys | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mizzen Max | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiznow’s Smile | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sugarille | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sir Ballantine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rocketry | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Governor Malibu | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Louie | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernay (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Approval | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cunco (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Trinni Ninja | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | New Pass | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dream Passage | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caitriona | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exceed the Goal | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ailish | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spontaneous | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Out of Orbit | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kreesie | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart and Sassy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sundance Joy | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wappinger | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eight Oaks | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flippity Flop | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.