Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 26, 2018

April 26, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 3 Ride On Faith 1.80 3.3 6-1
6 7 Pain in the Arch 2.50 3.6 7-1
1A 2 Spanned 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Boyhood Dream 2.00 4.3 8-1
5 6 Syrup 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 4 Time for War 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 5 Here’s Carlos 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spellker 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Girls Know Best 2.50 4 7-1
5 5 Ours to Run 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Natural Wonder 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Marquee Miss 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kyllachy Queen (IRE) 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Miss Gossip (IRE) 3.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 El Bonito 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Abraham 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Liberty Lane 8.00 3 6-1
8 7 Salsa’s Return 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 El Charro 1.60 3.5 7-1
5 4 Tonedaddy 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 A We Bit Flirty 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Etruscan 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Constancia 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Egoli 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Boom Boom Gone 20.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Flume 3.00 1.9 4-1
12 10 Miss Harry 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 1 Mucho Amor 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 3 City Diva 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 7 War Ballad 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 5 Blame the Frog 12.00 5.8 11-1
13 11 Mari Chuy 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 9 My Wynter Rose 30.00 7 13-1
4 2 La Coyota 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 6 Carry the One 30.00 7.7 15-1
6 4 Boucan 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mooose 30.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Chief Hosa 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 8 Get a Valentine 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 The Critical Way 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lawton 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Whiskey Bravo 4.00 5 10-1
3 3 Noshackleshere 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mount Calvary 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Rapa Iti 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Payntermaniac 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Capeline 20.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Devious Charm 3.00 2.5 5-1
10 9 Giro Kate 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 7 Shang Shang Shang 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 8 Beach Getaway 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Moonlight Romance 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Seranitsa 8.00 6 11-1
13 12 Stellar Stiletto 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Miami Azul 30.00 7.9 15-1
12 11 Kukoo Kunuku 50.00 8 15-1
3 3 Laser Lynn 30.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Love Off 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Momma’s Angel 30.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cash Out 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Romantic Moment 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Starving Artist 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Drinks On Me 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Get Explicit 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Prairie Citizen 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Classy Music 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Hayworth 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 April Fifteenth 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 A Girl Has No Name 30.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sparticle 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Whatelse Igot Todo 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Teletap 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 First Recruit 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Blitsig 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tale of Fame 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Escalera 10.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Top Me Off 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Whisper Barrow 30.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Thegistofit 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Fireball Jon 12.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Kilronan 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 El Capa Rojo 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Say the Word 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 C C Rider 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Love Nest 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Lascaux 3.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Countryside Drive 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Old Guard 5.00 5 10-1
3 3 Eclipsed Moon 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Pointman 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Kitten Street 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Wicked Trick 6.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Sportswear (GB) 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Vincent Van Gogo 12.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.