April 22, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stradella Road | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | True Testament | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Ice | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Fever | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Wine Untasted | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Token Vow | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Legit | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dutton’s Legend | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaccat | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Not Now Carolyn | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Night Time Inc (ARG) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poetic | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always Believe | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mapit | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Demigoddess | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Life of Illusion | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Funny | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Lubie | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What’s Bruin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyrielle | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wish You Were Mine | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Etching | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Defiantly | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kona Dreams | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Popular Kid | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tough It Out | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ky. Colonel | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uber Star | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elwood J | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spitfire | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spokane Eagle | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure Hunter | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caray | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glorious Crown | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On the Rocks | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharon’s Fury | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhettbutler | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – San Juan Capistrano S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nessy | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rye | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lazzam (GB) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Red Tie Day | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evo Campo (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonman | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Principal Bob | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Law Abidin Citizen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Game | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ike Walker | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear the Mine | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Multiplier | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hoffenheim | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Horse Greedy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sorry Erik | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blaze’n Prospector | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guy Code | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Omdurman | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chromium | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Private Prospect | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kristo | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Skinned | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Mark | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Four Gaels | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Limited Response | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I B Mike | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Shelby | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warm It Up | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beauty Divine | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Factor | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fluorescent | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On a Toot | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Appeal | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shanghai Tootsie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Alchemist | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy Buckner | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.