Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 21, 2018

April 21, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Golden Exchange 0.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mo Gee 0.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Giant Pulpit 0.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Water Polo 0.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Houdini Affair 0.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Court Verdict 0.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Twiceaslucky 0.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scarlet Forester 0.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Timeforastar 0.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Third Republic 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Silent Dance 0.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Professor Hartwick 0.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Alessio 0.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 We Take Checks 0.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Drink in My Hand 0.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Remembering Mickey 0.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Pat Daddy 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sniper 0.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Th Original Scotty 0.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Budding 0.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Kapellmeister 0.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Switchblade 0.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Teiaiagon 0.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Gasparilla Trove 0.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 One Pound Sterling 0.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Lil Old Forester 0.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Silent Ceremony 0.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Epilogue 0.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Almost Royalty 0.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flashy Margaritta 0.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Tizmatized 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Titanico 0.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Jimmies Truck 0.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Hombre Natural 0.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Bit’s Lover Boy 0.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Wickstead 0.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Stay Determined 0.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Run Run 0.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Wando S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Archaggelos 0.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Machtree 0.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Tale of Vienna 0.00 3 6-1
5 4 Titochip 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Inge 0.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Pipers Warrior 0.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Flight Deck 0.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sailing Home 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Grom 0.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Perfect Forester 0.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Hipp Smitt 0.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Sweet Romance 0.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Who’s Got It 0.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mr O’Prado 0.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Lillz Pearl 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Majestic Fever 0.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jacques Cartier S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Conquest Enforcer 0.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 0.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Pink Lloyd 0.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Majestic Slew 0.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tale of the Nile 0.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Extravagant Kid 0.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gimbala 0.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 H. M. S. Pinafore 0.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Sprung At Last 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Hurricane Emily 0.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Tiz Perfect 0.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Colluding 0.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Podgora 0.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Opeongo 0.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Shez a Ten I Know 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bel Ayr Bay 0.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Redwin Romp 0.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Danzig Rainbow 0.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Apple of His Eye 0.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Conquer the Course 0.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Pandora’s Jul 0.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 My Rosebud 0.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Agosta 0.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Early Ringaling 0.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Megalin Candy 0.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Molinaro Deputy 0.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Zlatica 0.00 9.9 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.