April 21, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Poetic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Travieza | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flammetta | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Casino Red (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Peintour | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Atlantic | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streetwithnoname | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Florista (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Joe M. | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pure Pursuit | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Staxx | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tap You’re It | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Super Storm | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hidden Crook | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Anziyan Cat | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King Darius | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Matriculate | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mesa Sky | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lewis Vale | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sense of Glory | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Above Board | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broken Up | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Comes the Dream | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aventador (FR) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trifecta | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Any Questions | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Soul | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Daddyo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malko (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zapana’s Game | 50.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Kona Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ransom the Moon | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Blessings | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby Abu Dhabi | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calculator | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blameitonthelaw | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blame It On Alphie | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ancient Secret | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Algorhythmic | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Steel | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cordiality | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Melissa Jane (GB) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Shopper | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Symposium (GB) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Informality | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liberty Jack | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Towards the Light | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dad’s a Gambler | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chrisiscookin | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Ranger | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical More | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – American S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Free Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fabozzi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Blackjackcat | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | What a View | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kenjisstorm | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sawyer’s Hill | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Colonist | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Roary | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ritzy A. P. | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wild At Midnight | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queen Laila | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Ashlyn | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Powder | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Regis | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glorious Hour | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Kendra | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Will Tell | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Infuriated Gary | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desert General | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plain Wrap | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Continental Divide | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duluth | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accreditation | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rolls Royce Deal | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Salsita | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resky Business | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Doll | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Revenue Virginius | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookinforadanger | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Backintheacademy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ryder’s Starlight | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Cali | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Todos Santos | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.