April 21, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Diamond Junior |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thorn Hill Cat |
1.40 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
I’m Truly Blessed |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Clemen |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Henny Strike |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blazin Drama |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
De Punta a Punta |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kentucky Dancer |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joe’s Gift |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alice’s Girls |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whogoosedthemoose |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pretty Cool Cat |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just Listen |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Final Ritual |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ledbetter |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Battle Tap |
1.40 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
General Bellamy |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nice Surprise |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vivid Image |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
8 |
Hersisterisachub |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Seeking Shamrocks |
1.40 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Love You Babe |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hot Spice Girl |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
3 |
Prestons Princess |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Initforthelonghaul |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lucky Greatness |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Resolute Babe |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Backyard Boogie |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sunshine Sperry |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Going Abroad |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blinding |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Musical Comedy |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Buzz With Alex |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cottonall |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Totaled the Benz |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Popizar |
5.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
2 |
Drummer Don |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
3 |
Bennyluvspoker |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Outvoted |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
1 |
Every Step |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2X |
8 |
Snoop |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Syndicate Saver |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Selling Out |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wrangle |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
King Bili |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Lookingforanewspot |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
I’m Thirsty |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hide a Rose |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silver Majorette |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Let’s Parlay |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Headed for Heaven |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Littlemissbusiness |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Releasethe Glacken |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Appealing Miss |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marnesia Big Girl |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shane’s Jewel |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Blame It On Honey |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Wentz |
1.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
6 |
Jumpmaster |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Forced |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Viking Raider |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Chasing My Halo |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Jw’strickymischief |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Our Lunatic |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Casino King |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Eastern Front |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Quiet Revenge |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mbrace Grace |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sky Banshee |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Samurai Warrior |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Certain Something |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Six Blade |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Naked Lies |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dominick’s Dream |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
J B’s Big Red |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
West Shore Drive |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.