April 21, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bash | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Velocita Brillante | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justa Scoch | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Anthem | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nowitna River | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lulu’s On the Move | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sirius Love | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Junction | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Euro | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinder | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love and Care | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A True Gentleman | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O Captainmycaptain | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Choice | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crookit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Boosting | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Justice for Sheena | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Secret Temple | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fleur de Force | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Vaughn | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Grande Beso | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Self Determination | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Z Nation | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Chapel Gap | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hot Friesia | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simonela | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marvelous Days | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zorally | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dorcas Carey | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Two Three Go | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Hap Now | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loveanor | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blue Hen Madness | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bubbly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tranzip | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unbridled Escape | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kaprancy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Crystal Pier | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Sarah’s Whisper | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canna Red | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | So Royal | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye On Berlin | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Porte Cochere | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Party Rock | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Standard Deal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Born to Be Mild | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scarlett’s Ransom | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truly Hot | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Primonetta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Anna’s Bandit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Chalon | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Short Kakes | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Everlasting Secret | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cairenn | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Your Pace Or Mine | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Downtown Mama | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Limited View | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rowd E Allie | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Rolls | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bluegrass Flag | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Dahlia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Full of Zip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I’m Betty G | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hawksmoor (IRE) | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Compelled | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hallie Belle | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flower Fashion (FR) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broken Bridle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aura Rose | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tanya’s Gem | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sophia Is an Angel | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Weber City Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shamrock Rose | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Layla Noor | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodonehoney | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indy Union | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Union Rags | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stakes On a Plane | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormologist | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empress Livia | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firth | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Henry S. Clark S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bolting | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Celebration (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ring Weekend | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Phlash Phelps | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ghost Hunter | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caribou Club | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Even Thunder | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Doctor Mounty | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Murad Khan (FR) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Areeb | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dalarna | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Glorious Empire (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cooptado (ARG) | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Econometric | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Federico Tesio S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Navy Commander | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Split Verdict | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Still Having Fun | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond King | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Commander | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | V. I. P. Code | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dynamic Asset | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | American Lincoln | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Holland Park | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takedown | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Fake News | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Benevolent Prince | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warrior Rose | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Apache | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whenthedovescry | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Constable | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ay Carumba | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sadler Bay | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Native Flora | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Patriot | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Run | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ollie’s Papa’s Boy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.