April 21, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Boyfriend Brian (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ray’s The Bar (GB) | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liquid Aloha | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Giant’s Voice | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Kitten | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Zorro | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Martini Kid | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Frontier | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panzer Barcelona (VEN) | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perp | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gran Chief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Illustrious Son | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Matt | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Il Faraone | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taken to Church | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Money Train | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Opening Remark | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Di | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mass Approval | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Enough | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wannabeaplayer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Waldi | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hyatt’s Dude | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tracking Stock | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schweets | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Too Stormy | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Independent Worker | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tide of the Desert | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moreno Mojo | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Omened By | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Menehune | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Milo Diamond | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Violette | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Queen Jill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Up the Road | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Special Counsel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dea | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oscura | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sophie Germain | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Allowances (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Peart | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elizabeth’s Vow | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Mama | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Direction Song | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Thanks Mom | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Roar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Chinumado | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | King Humor | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hazit | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Transistor | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aequor | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tudox Expectations | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Tiger | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Millionaire Runner | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Driven by Thunder | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erasmo’s Dream | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What Power | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carbon Data | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Panama Papers | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beyond Smart | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good and Proper | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marco Mischief | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Decision | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bonterra | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Currency Chrome | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bullgrats | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amanecer | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nightstrings | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sighted | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C’Era Una Volta | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Down South | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Pinnacle | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Super Super Lucky | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rain Storm | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Best Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pass the Butter | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Princess Power | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Galatians | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Postimpressionist | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steeles Run | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gemologister | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hitmewthurbestshot | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prioritize | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Abacur | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bar Libre (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lapantalones Fance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unspoken | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wild Chatter | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Feed Me Carats | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | August Lilly | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Square to Spare | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Voila La Victoire (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Dream of Lois | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vinyardnina | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scatnap | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Likeagirl | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Safe Kitten | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Patient | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Came Up Rosie | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Nephew Howard D | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mitos Y Leyendas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Baker | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Son Wind | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dream Saturday | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amace | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ship Disturber | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Over Limit | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Night Rythm | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Entangled | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rancho | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifth Avenue Flash | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Donegal Hall | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Starship Apache | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pair Pair Tie | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Adagio | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Game Face S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Favorite Gift | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Toni Ann’s Miracle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Alter Moon | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Onebrethatatime | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Luzmimi Princess | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Jak | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starcloud | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | American Frolic | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alliya’s Story | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Chara | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Run for the Cup | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Royal Flyer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Snoring Barth | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Repetitious | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Family Justice | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kikinboy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Haybub | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cape Marco Drive | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Taur | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Junior | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Remsenburg | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Life After Fourty | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.