April 20, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clever Triad | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Forty Factor | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valid Miracle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maru’s Raven | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Brothersledge | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tachyon | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Wu | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chocomount | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Malibu At Midnight | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clickjab | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Down in the Holler | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Michael | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sventastic | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopkins Choice | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13A | 13 | Hunger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tam Tam Attack | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Puturseatbelton | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chilly Bay | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Cover | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iredell | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Bolt | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Sunset | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Real Creel | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Ball | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Bandit | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flyingtobechilders | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Punk | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brahms Romp | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapitontheside | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Warning | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Witchy’s Laststand | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hermans Gold | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lithium Z | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easter Vigil | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hell of Afire | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Borino | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shifra Magician | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Innocent | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meddybemps | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spicy Girl Red | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Miz | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Springtime Wind | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mesotherm | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Metro | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Bob | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Any Darn Day | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Benevolentdictator | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Warmin’ Up | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dove Dynasty | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Cash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Native Flora | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Constable | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Benevolent Prince | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Whenthedovescry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Forthegreatergood | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Godlovesasinner | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hunt Me Down | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Me Darlin Kara | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In Your Pocket | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Easyzip | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jammer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Anthem | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Bobby | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Match the Pot | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jackgreerstubhutch | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Baltimore Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Small Rebellion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | No More Excuses | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Bay of Cats | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Frechette | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Deep Red | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | She’s Achance Too | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fly and Flutter | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Emoticon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Roanie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Djulpan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Ready Aim | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Young American | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chargin Storm | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | King Koa | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Brooklyn Speights | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Johnny Action | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beltway Bob | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Starship Yenta | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Virginia Fable | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Patriotic Heart | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Passion | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doit for Spite | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Say Yes to Me | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parched Ghost | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fantastic Crossing | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gfour | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.