April 20, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stay in Cruise | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get a Move On It | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mosca | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Kitt | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Chaval | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quanahs Revenge | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pasta Giovanni | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clemson and Watson | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hidden to Win | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautyofaday | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Girl | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asian Moonlady | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Break Away | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Visconti | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Napa Valley Rose | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vicky Queen | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Ally | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Beleve Watch | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Misty Phyllis | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Chic | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Everyday Ice | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riomar | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Joshua’s Comprise | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | March to the Arch | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Archer Road | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elk Camp | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The X | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Famous Fact | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thoristic | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erre Erre | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Timuquana Place | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | High End Lady | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Return | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Optimistic Shot | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sipmychardonnaynae | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stroll Action | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Simuladora | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Perfect Fox | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forty Kilos | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Casual Caro | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Making Havoc | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Threat | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Player | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sum Roar | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cindy’s Candy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Greatness | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Distinction | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Bliss | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lago Lindo | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Proud O’Paddy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Track Kathern | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Make Me Proud | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mahvelous Kitten | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nikki’s Cause | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spicy Nelly | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unstablenthemornin | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gift of Glory | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bullet Gone Astray | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Command Post | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harryhee | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cautious Giant | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Louie D | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | French Quarter | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dancin in the Heat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Total Joint | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cut to Order | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Entwistle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Squadron | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Your Drama | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Porter Street | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Man | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Japonski | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ledecky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Peggity | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Scottish Sky | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Babaknowsevrything | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monterey Marianne | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Untruthful Sonnet | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exclusively Emma | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Nature | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Katie’s Champ | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Subtle Grace | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alexandras Joy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.