Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 20, 2018

April 20, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ribbonite 2.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Ouro Verde 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mahabodhi Tree 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sand City 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Caoimhe 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Dream Fever 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Our Whim 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Anna Rae 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Tiz a Kitten 12.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Edisto Island 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Talkn Til Midnight 1.80 3 6-1
5 4 Ultimate Cause 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Savannah Belle 2.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Queenofthechannel 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 6 Peaches and Spice 30.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crimson King 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Weather Wiz 0.80 1.8 3-1
4 3 Proven Reserves 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Ballard High 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Pawn It Back 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ed’s Quick Cat 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Susans Funnybone 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 O Shea Can U See 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Masta Ace 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Croatia 6.00 2.1 4-1
14 10 Leading Storm 8.00 3.3 6-1
13 9 Anything Pazible 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Barefoot Angel 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Merger of Banks 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Cent of a Giant 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Giant Rubies 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Theresa’s Boy 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Wicked Huntsman 30.00 7.6 14-1
6 5 Casa Rae 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Analyze the Odds 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Morning Breez 1.80 2.8 5-1
6 6 Presence of Mind 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 What a Catch 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mr. Pete 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Comeoncomeoncat 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Texican 3.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Cumulative 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sentry 1.40 4.3 8-1
10 10 Mysterio 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Troopingthecolor 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Dial Josh 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Arch Contender 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Last Chant 30.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Scrutinize 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Dublin Leprechaun 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Sidewinder 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blugrascat’s Smile 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Can You Diggit 1.20 2.8 5-1
6 6 Charming Indy 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Zabaione 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Holy Week 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Chilly Bon Bon 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Calculated Risker 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Papa Shot 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Timeline 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Sunny Ridge 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 2 Flash Trading 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Pioneer Spirit 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Splashtastic 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 1 Bonus Points 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 The Chamo 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Codylicious 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Financial System 2.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Curlin’s New Moon 15.00 4 7-1
4 4 Victor Lounge (IRE) 3.50 4.2 8-1
11 10 Bourbon Boy 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Champagne Papi 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 A Lotta Wine 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Inevitable 4.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Corinthian Spirit 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Huracan 30.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Stag of Sylvia 30.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.