April 19, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mister Sense | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Areyoutalkingtome | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Put the Hat Back | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coniston | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outside Lookin In | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accolade | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rough Note | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silbido | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Judith’s Sunset | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Somedreamscometrue | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Treys Midnite Moon | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. G T | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fun Prospect | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | K K’s Revolver | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luminary Flight | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aristteles | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bostaleto | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Stark | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Logic | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cryogenic | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paco Ensaco | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Moment | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stolypin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chatiment | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sambrook Edge | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chepstow | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Martini | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spin Cycle | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cantaclaro | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheech Thunder | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr Lemonade | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chase Your Dreams | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Two Seventy One | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Suwanee | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sound of the Tap | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blake’s Lucky Star | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devilish Man | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A B G Guerrero | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Connery | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovingrdsimmar | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The General’s Wind | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R Next Roll | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wishfully | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Witch | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dawn Lightning | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Precious | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rahy Momenta | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Junior | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dahlonega | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kid Kantharos | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamic Dancer | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Very Amusing | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cape Desiderato | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard Jak | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Vessel | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kyle’s Boy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadcast Time | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Particularity | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sober On Sunday | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bitacora | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faithful Sue | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Darling | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Cuaima | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Bridge | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pop’s Irish Rose | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lonesome Palm | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Carol | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crafty Jack | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glass Bridge | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legit | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Honor | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dig In | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diplomatic Shaft | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Choice | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Violent Nature | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tiki Bar Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Peggity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Little Miss May | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Indy Contender | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Miss Casuarina | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mrs. Met | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Order In | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Givonna’s Magic | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show Biz Liz | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Priceless | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | War Beauty | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Run Gal Run | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dominant Dolly | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heresurlamamama | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dawnibug | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.