April 19, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Echoes of Laughter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Social Fan | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Kitchen Soup | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | What the Luck | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sayhellotomylilfrn | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baggins | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Candys Delight | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Regalian | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blinded Vision | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vicar’s Legend | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heyitsnricopalazo | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Party | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Espresso Caliente | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Vale | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Problem Solving | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Bling It | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Way Over Budget | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astrology Hill | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saturdays Vapor | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bon Heir | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Doinwhatshelikes | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jcs American Dream | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Expressly | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest So True | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loyal Heart | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shakesperian Dream | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Banty’s Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | English Dancer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Smile Big | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Questeq | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Smokin Hot Momma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Passporttovictory | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tres Charmant | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hollywood Cat | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Sizzle | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Transaction Tax | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dynamic War | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Angel Food | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Laura’s Patriot | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Votre Coeur | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Two Nancy’s | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Skittles | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hashtag Winning | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ucantcatchmybreath | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raging Fire | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kelvin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Port Arch | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Our American Star | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Holycowits Patrick | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beach Access | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Clonedsimmard | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Threefiveindia | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Life in Shambles | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Kranz | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Angry Moon | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Green Gratto | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candid Desire | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Global Positioning | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | For Pops | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mighty Zealous | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Blue Belt | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Love That Jazz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tribecca | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sword Fighter | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | With Exultation | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Shane | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Excluded | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Psychic Energy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Francis Freud | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Banana Thief | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavy Meddle | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Pigeon | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Princess Rashelle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lia Shivani | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | A Taste of Glory | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Opus Uno | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Expense | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She’sakittykat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Like Your Style | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glitterfication | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Sunday | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | You Promise | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Cara | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marie’s Warrior | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.