April 18, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A We Bit Flirty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crackin Jon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Pray Hard | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Asset | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Blue Wings | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Money Monster | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rapa Iti | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rolin With Olin | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | La Maquina Gris | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | My Eminence | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Makeamericagreat | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Kite | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eyes On | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A Bag of Money | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riverboat Gambler | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul of the Hero | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Jabba Jaws | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Bruiser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Strike Play | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vow Me Now | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alwaysmining | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder Stone | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baytown Macca | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Act | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Highway | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Imbeingfollowed | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dantu | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dustingbrown | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weiland | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Monroe | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Divine Desire | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Alert | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stapleton | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speedmeister | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cataroux | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dahog | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mikeandchickdidit | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thundercloud | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Santa Monica (GB) | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canny | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peru (GB) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Downton Kitten | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dutch Parrot | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hannahanna | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’s M V P | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summertime Gal | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Buddy Ann | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slim Fit | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strombolian | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Book | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Still There | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Change of Heart | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Flout | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outgoing | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brassy and Sassy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mallory’s Channel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Black Canary | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Missseventhirteen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inspired Vow | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parol | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bistro Moncur | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Majestic Mist | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Singer | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Hill | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saucy Symphony | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Lucy’s Revenge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tenacious Sally | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gracequinnannamady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Will Gracie Shine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Oro Bird | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dancing Waves (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ursula Andress (BRZ) | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Super Wonderful | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bella Be Proud | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Wood Not Mind | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Majestic Kindness | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Haute Prospect | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Myositis Mystique | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.