April 17, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Dayna Lee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Balharbour Miss | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dan’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Katie’s Caddie | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saint Bernadine | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Faithinvictoria | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dangerous Maize | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hear Me Purr | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Dance N Denae | 1.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rosemarie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Appealingmagic | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Not a Word | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blind Devotion | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ghazi’s Stone | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mill and Gloria | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jaffle | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Berberslilbriebrie | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Msmissioncomplete | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emilyisawesome | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarfree | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Smokin Nitro | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pancake Party | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Loco Lobo | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Currency Wave | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Ribot | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salinger | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Cruzin | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zenobio’s Gold | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kowboy Kenny | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Win | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Partner’s Power | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Case the Place | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Train | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | John’s Birthday | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Saturday | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Tommy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Axe Capital | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9B | 9 | Kissin Cassie | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Nellie Mac | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10B | 10 | Love Is All | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Haveaniceweekend | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wilma Lynn | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Running Free | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gobi | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midday Prayer | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Studded | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perina’s Pride | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Romance | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fielder | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elevated | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Larco Mar | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D T Goodie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Tocayo | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brio Man | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pray With Faith | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brother Chub | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Long May You Run | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cozy Lover | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conscience | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Discreetly Placed | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yakov | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stand and Salute | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | White Bluff | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saratiago | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Lagrats | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s Holy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Henrietta | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildly Good Lookin | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Megan’s Muse | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Belle of Bowdoin | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Another Secret | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Pantera | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Motivation | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.