April 15, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Six Point Rack | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Closing Time | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shifty Dancer | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alsatian | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unusual Meeting | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going for the Win | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Papa | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waya Ed | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | McKale | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zulfikhar | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graycaster | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ride to the Wire | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master Ruler | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Downtowner | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Jazz | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momma’s Baby Boy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surfside Sunset | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Game | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Negro Lucero | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Broome | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Window | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses and Candy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapalita | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ladybug | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Glass | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trophy Bridle | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Rosie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sapphire Kid | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uno Trouble Maker | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonneville Flats | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sweet Emma | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Summer | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vasilika | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Achira | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lynne’s Legacy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Battleground State | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Moccasin | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quinn Murphy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Demigoddess | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Persistence (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Honey | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Yourself Home | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Euro | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lula | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makenna’s Song | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marjorie E | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cali Chatter | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Allied | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Swiss Minister | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rocket Fuel | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Easter Morn | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hardcore Troubador | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trickonomics | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drizzy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Warlord | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Wine and Dine | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brickhouse | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uh Oh Baby | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Original Intent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | It’s a New Year | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Starting Bloc | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Amazon Cry | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mo Over | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Odyssey Explorer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street to Indy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Roaring Fork | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Traffic Thief | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kinematico | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Haylord | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot American | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoover Tower | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.