April 14, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Facts Matter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Majestic Eagle | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sellwood | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Friendly Outthedor | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Papa Joe | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pointed | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Rider | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cajun Treasure | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dignitaire | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dressed in Prada | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Just Be Held | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Charm | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anita G. | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mining Diamonds | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Outa Here | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Crystal | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Venice | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Grecian Fort | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Mischievious Lass | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Oh My Soul | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Takes Two to Tenga | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Baby Beauty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Calimonco Action | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Asem | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tengs Rhythm | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Cream N Kafe | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Sophie | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lily Be Good | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silversonic | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Teen Angel | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lets Light the Way | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Coated World | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nine Point Nine | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Livy (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Becca | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Little Bit Me | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud ‘n’ Ready | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saida | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zuzanna | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rooms | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Imalocomotive | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Ray | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Tale | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polity | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rebel On the Run | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For the Hustle | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Ended | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Severin | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Thor’s Echo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Edwards Going Left | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Image of Joplin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | B Squared | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tough Sunday | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Smokey Image | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Grazen Sky | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Make It a Triple | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Waya Ed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Going for the Win | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Alsatian | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bold Papa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Six Point Rack | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hardboot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Kings River King | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tule Fog | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raven Creek | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lymebyrd | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Journey | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Admiral | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Croissant | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast as Cass | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Well Measured | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Junior Gilliam | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mesa Sky | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louden’s Gray | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Treasure | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classico | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finallygotabentley | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Here and There | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Mark | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Horse Greedy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Aquaphobia | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Air Vice Marshal | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Play Hard to Get | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Well Developed | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Echo (GB) | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beach View | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unapologetic | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cafe Flavor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Touched by Autism | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Insubordination | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jerry’s Thunder | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rustic Canyon | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seattle Encounter | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Righteous Wave | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Obsession | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Tattoo Kid | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loco Mango | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Picado | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.