April 14, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lionite | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Limation | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twist Off | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grade | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’ve Got Heart | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forbidden Kitten | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rickhouse | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodie Tap | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bandit Point | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Red Dude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Dial | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Long Station | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Adens Dream | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Switzerland | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pete’s Play Call | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sevier | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Indexical | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Aquamarine | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bourbon Cowboy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Itsallaboutyou | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Data Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Money Dance | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alexandros | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Possibilitarian | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Rocket | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | East Moon Lake | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sluicebox | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blasphemy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fostering Harmony | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Kalalou | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zippy Lou | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Traci’s Greeley | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C P Quality | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tedders Angel | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Three Halos | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lily Sofia | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little T K | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aspiration | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Treble | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Craic | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breaking Bread | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jersey Heist | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Key | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vilaro | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Proposal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Borealis Beauty | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fairwayngreen | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Whistle Stop | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Slick Silver | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Will’s Pioneer | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firehorn | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dahik | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Popit | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Story | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cowboy Creed | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Idi | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soaring Bird | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Wynning | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cerunnos | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Gem | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | No Funny Biz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dos Cuernos | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Chris and Dave | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bold Prophet | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Gray Sky | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Super Derecho | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Powerful Ally | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chocolateicecream | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heavy Roller | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rowdy the Warrior | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sabrena’s Bling | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pontastic | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Primarily Gold | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sword of David | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Northern Spur S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | High North | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ike | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire When Ready | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Title Ready | 1.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Power | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul P Say | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ego Trip | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arazi Like Move | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whitmore | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ivan Fallunovalot | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Spree | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wynn Time | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wings Locked Up | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wilbo | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Oaklawn H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Accelerate | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | City of Light | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hedge Fund | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawaakom | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inside Straight | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Untrapped | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonneteer | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colonelsdarktemper | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blueridge Traveler | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin At Lee | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Max | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magnum Moon | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solomini | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quip | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Combatant | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Machismo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenfold | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Baby Dream | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plainsman | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Shot | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J P of Galilee | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Justin Zee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Moon Gate Warrior | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Jonny’s Choice | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Crooked as Can Be | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Affirming | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Runningunninrascal | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The Rouge Diesel | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ucanthankmelater | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dynabeaver | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.