April 14, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Simpson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cyclobomb | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hydraulic | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrive in Style | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack of Spades | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quest of Glory | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eagle Caviar | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rubys Fire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kyleigh’s Smile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Saturday’s Rein | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ladyofthehierarchy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Letmeslidebyyou | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rock On Sandy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Majorie Mugs | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Big Platinum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gin Fuzz | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu At Midnight | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fevered Affair | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Praise the Moon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here’s Paco | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | You Like That | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Kick | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sidewalk Prophet | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Own Lane | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patriotic Quest | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Snippety | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Amapola | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magical | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Warrior of Light | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gingeresk | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Towson | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Sandy Lane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nakamura | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Goodluckjohnathan | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Robin Hood | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kingston Pike | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Helicat | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Uno Dancer | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stunning Baby | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Best Way | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Lover | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tango Delta | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Just Wanna Win | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Keswick | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stella Nova | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caitlyn’s Wish | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Staff Sgt Reckless | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unbridled Escape | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11A | 11 | Not Goliath | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Brickyard Kitten | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Banner Bill | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Here’s Johnny | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Painted Patchen | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberal Spin | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | The Catmancan | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rumblin Kyle | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broad Axe Bernie | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Drive | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Real Power | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Little Laughs | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Chesa Charm | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Top Street | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trafficplan | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Doozy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharon’s Thunder | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Fire | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Align the Numbers | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magritte | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willie B Mine | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Visual Effect | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taco Supream | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheese On | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice On the Severn | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crash Mountain | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bestia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Army Grey | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shoot the Gap | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Slim | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Much Maligned | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Games | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zeke the Streak | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Conquistodor Fuego | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Two Punch Smart | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Fear the Reaper | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | So Hot | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Perfect Me | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.