April 14, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flipped | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wushu Warrior | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hokulea | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trinni Juice | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buss the Bell | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Andesine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tizzelle | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Icespire (GB) | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jaunt | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | House of Dixie | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Untaken | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stay Fond | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Plenty Of Grace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Impression | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uni (GB) | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Five | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stallion Heiress | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Taken | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rock Doc | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | H Man | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Gorelli | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Altesino | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prophet’s Cat | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Caretaker | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Formal Start | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kulin Rock | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Attribute | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Blenheim | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accountable | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California Swing | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Munnings | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Coexistence | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soar From Shadows | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Confirmation Bias | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twofer | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Lady | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom’s Queen | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rubellite | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catenaria | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jet Black | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Mr. Buff | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Clutch Cargo | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Storm Prophet | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ekhtibaar | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vincento | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sir Ballantine | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Exulting | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bridgetown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mentality | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Barbarossa | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nootka Sound | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | All Systems Go | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ambassador Jim | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coltandmississippi | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Black Stetson | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smooth B | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Audrey | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Closing Statement | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reversethedecision | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Too Cool to Dance | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jasmine’s Gem | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sansibar Jewel | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Cash | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Fine | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.