Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 14, 2018

April 14, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flipped 1.20 2.2 4-1
6 6 Wushu Warrior 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Hokulea 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Trinni Juice 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Buss the Bell 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Well in Tune 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Andesine 2.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Tizzelle 1.20 2 4-1
7 6 Icespire (GB) 1.60 3.3 6-1
2 1 Jaunt 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 House of Dixie 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Untaken 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Stay Fond 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Plenty Of Grace S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Impression 1.40 1.9 4-1
3 3 Uni (GB) 1.80 2.9 6-1
1 1 Fifty Five 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Stallion Heiress 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Not Taken 5.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rock Doc 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 H Man 3.00 3.5 7-1
4A 4 Gorelli 2.50 3.5 7-1
6A 6 Altesino 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Prophet’s Cat 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 The Caretaker 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Formal Start 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kulin Rock 1.80 2.4 4-1
5 5 Attribute 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Battle of Blenheim 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mr. Dougie Fresh 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Accountable 50.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 California Swing 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Munnings 3.00 2.8 5-1
7A 7 Coexistence 2.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Soar From Shadows 3.50 4 8-1
3A 3 Confirmation Bias 2.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Twofer 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Highland Lady 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Kingdom’s Queen 5.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Rubellite 10.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Catenaria 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jet Black 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Mr. Buff 1.00 2.1 4-1
8A 7 Clutch Cargo 1.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Storm Prophet 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 4 Ekhtibaar 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 3 Vincento 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Sir Ballantine 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Exulting 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bridgetown S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mentality 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Barbarossa 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Nootka Sound 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 All Systems Go 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Ambassador Jim 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 5 Coltandmississippi 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Black Stetson 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Smooth B 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amazing Audrey 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Closing Statement 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Reversethedecision 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Too Cool to Dance 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Jasmine’s Gem 12.00 5 10-1
5 5 Sansibar Jewel 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Hot Cash 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Mighty Fine 30.00 6.5 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.