April 13, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Roman Tizzy | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Orejas | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awe | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hackleton | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Freedom | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harrovian | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Ruler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Dare to Enter | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Write Me a Song | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tre | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Amore | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ministertomyheart | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | When Jesus Walked | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pulpacheeks | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whoa Nessie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paprika | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Sierra | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | And Counting | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad and Bougie | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Court | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Adore You | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Time for Cioppino | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Elevated Knight | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kaleidoscope Kid | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shackalov | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Studly Perfection | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lipster | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mac McLovin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cynthiana | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Looking At Thelake | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goseecal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zero Zee | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Lilly | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neon Gypsy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Ann | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | An Eddie Surprise | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lake Shore Lady | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Dee Way to Go | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blame the Weather | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Topaz Time | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Creative Spark | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tengas Best Girl | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spacerika | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Biscotti Gal | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tengs Wonder | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heather’s Wish | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Innyminniemineymoe | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cow Dog | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Twist | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Net | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Estherfourfourteen | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Condi | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mama’s Kid | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Easydoes It Please | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Halo Darlin | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Promnesia | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | All of a Sudden | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen Bee to You | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silverspun Pickup | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lady Espionage | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wonderful Lie | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ashley’s Charms | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Li’l Grazen | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.