April 13, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awestruck | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Boots | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirteen Songs | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Bernardina | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Bailar | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turbo Driven Diva | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rainwalker | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rulelikecleopatra | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Screamer | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Racey Reecey | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia Bella Rossa | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Latent Princess | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surfina | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love the Power (FR) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nifty Fifty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Irish Proud | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Draxhall Woods | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ambidextrous Alex | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Birds Gone Wild | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jax Heritage | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Coulee | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spatetacular Joe | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Enlisted Man | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sailor’s Valentine | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Wind | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss O’Hara | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapella | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shakti | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Schema | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pauline Revere | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Uncatchable | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wind Rhapsody | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Soul | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nasdeck | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whisper Barrow | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Over Icce | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pellagrino | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smokin’ Six | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Here’s Carlos | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bar Ryder | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Even It Up | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Botswana | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Let It Ride Mom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mo Knows | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Lido | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Con Te Partiro | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Browse | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Niigon’s Eclipse | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Miss Hollywood | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amabilis (GB) | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dynatail | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Youngest Daughter | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby Love (CHI) | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blasted Boss | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Hurry Back | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tabia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Animus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | First Commander | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Mo Zone | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marmello | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leinster | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One More Tom | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rugbyman | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hey Prez | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Own Agenda | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kearny County | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jefazo | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Home Base | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Western Trouble | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Warrior | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Go Google Yourself | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gio Game | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Haynesfest | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | True Dream | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Mimosa | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Going Out | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Contrarian | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ladies Night | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missap | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Maker’s 46 Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nileator | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Next Shares | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heart to Heart | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Om | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ballagh Rocks | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Misunderstood | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hogy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Forge (GB) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Frostmourne | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tower of Texas | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Push Come to Shove | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bella Moon | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blaze Star | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moment of Triumph | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor With Pride | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Parking Ticket | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Priss | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jay Wow | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bernattete | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Bold | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.