April 13, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reyana Reya Delite | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Windjammer (GER) | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Connie Girl | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bogulator | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cleo | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mama’s Red Hat | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Glow Goddess | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flying Pleasantly | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Simona | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreams Are Pazible | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overdraft | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Status Asthmaticus | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northernstreetgal | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Route | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Monteleone | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regalian | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vicar’s Legend | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Pirate | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backstretch George | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Da Meister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diplodocus | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cookie Crisp | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daddy’s Home | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Mist | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wondermeister | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cavallotto | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Splashtastic | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 4 | Wake Forest (GER) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Highland Sky | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Designed for War | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Memories of Peter | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Postulation | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scholar Athlete | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitation | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Okeamo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Take It to Scale | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zonic | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Analyze the Bill | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Panic Attack | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playwright | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flat Bill | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our American Star | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mohican | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major Force | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ode to the Hunt | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polar City | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart in Hand | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smarter | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whyamisolucky | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spectrolite | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | English Minister | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blackout (FR) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy’z Slew | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Stroll | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lex Vegas | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My First Gal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Emblazoner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Gypsy Jo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carlisle Belle | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sunblock | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magari | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Eyes | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Finlee | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Johanna | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.