April 12, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brockton George | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Esposito | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Donwell | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D C Nine | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Krewe Chief | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorse | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howell Mountain | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14A | 14 | Crossing Alaska | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wosie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Wonder Stone | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Better Yet | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stellar Stiletto | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Thanks | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Love Off | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Apple | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dragic | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Boozy Brunch | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lorrie G | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daisy Queen | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mahalia | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senorita Tapit | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Joopster | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tres Equis | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taruca | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Wise Treaty | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boxing Glove | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artegon | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Corfu | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Lemon No Lime | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bullet Bandit | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blockade | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sniper Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Rose’s Vision | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get the Facts | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Ride | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | John Tippmann | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gunnison | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lobkowicz Palace | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yaafour (GB) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forgotten Coast | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fig Jelly | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Story | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mizz Fabulous | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Pearl of the Nile | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Soiree | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Catkins | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Faith in Jimmy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lou’s Chardonnay | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | All the Juice | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I’ve Got Grace | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shape Shifter | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | He Hate Me | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kowboy Karma | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magicalmeister | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exclamation Point | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truth Be Tolled | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grandpa Knows Best | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Drop of Wine | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Oxford Lane | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foxtrot Charlie | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | McCormick | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Strike | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Cub | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snap Decision | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brucarita | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krampus | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Dad | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Makarios | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oathkeeper | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Country | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Time to Travel | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zipp On By | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dapper Sam | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spikes Shirl | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lenstar | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | River’s Edge | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glacier | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flash Attack | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Because It’s Time | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | City Day | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fake News and Data | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Great Emmy M | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Show Girl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Dabinett | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Tapitai | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | V J’s Bet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sunapee | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Altar Issues | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dagney’s Warrior | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mountain Dove | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Tofino | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Breakfast Pond | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Iris Dancer | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Osheen | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Daddy Issues | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.