April 12, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Sheila | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bartoletta | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sororitysweetheart | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Year’s Wish | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swivel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Prophet’s Cat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Elenzee | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inheritthewind | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Moon | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Benny Big Boy | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nutzforboltz | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | River Knight | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Daring Prospect | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Little Bear Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Wildcat Belle | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Loose | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conquest So True | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Da Wildcat Girl | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Curl | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Goodnight Moon | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kapalua Starlight | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goldmakesmesmile | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blissful Breeze | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyondelle | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty River | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abeja Negra | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bolita Boyz | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Promises | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alright Alright | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockford | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heaven’s Runway | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Takechargedelilah | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Free Kitty | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Countenance | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mockery | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Presumptuous | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curuzu | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cadeau de Paix | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Know Point Given | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jump Ruler | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viradia | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salty Smile | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paranoia | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Lightnin Strike | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vip Nation | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Andesine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Mominou | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | May Flowers | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Tizfire | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | China Rider | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Okinawa | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Offlee Irish | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Aja Brown | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Thinking | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Me a Memory | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King of New York | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Combat Controller | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Karma Delight | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joy Drive | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Bigluck E | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Donji | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Battle of Evermore | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fielding Gold | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Midway | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bunyaan | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.