Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 12, 2018

April 12, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hurricane Sheila 1.20 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bartoletta 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sororitysweetheart 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 New Year’s Wish 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Reyana Reya Dreams 30.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Swivel 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Prophet’s Cat 3.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Elenzee 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Inheritthewind 1.80 3.4 7-1
1 1 High Moon 1.40 3.5 7-1
6 5 Benny Big Boy 30.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Nutzforboltz 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 River Knight 10.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Daring Prospect 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Little Bear Cat 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Wildcat Belle 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 2 Loose 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Conquest So True 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Da Wildcat Girl 12.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sugar Curl 4.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Goodnight Moon 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Kapalua Starlight 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Goldmakesmesmile 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Blissful Breeze 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Beyondelle 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Pretty River 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Abeja Negra 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bolita Boyz 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Hey Jabber Jaw 2.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Candy Promises 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Alright Alright 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Rockford 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Heaven’s Runway 4.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Takechargedelilah 1.20 2.3 4-1
7 7 Free Kitty 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Countenance 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mockery 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Presumptuous 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Curuzu 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Cadeau de Paix 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Know Point Given 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jump Ruler 1.80 2.2 4-1
5 5 Viradia 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Salty Smile 2.50 4 7-1
2 2 Paranoia 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 My Lightnin Strike 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Vip Nation 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Andesine 2.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Mominou 1.60 2.3 4-1
6 6 May Flowers 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Conquest Tizfire 5.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 China Rider 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Okinawa 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Offlee Irish 30.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Miss Aja Brown 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Quick Thinking 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Play Me a Memory 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 King of New York 15.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 Combat Controller 3.50 SCRATCH
10 8 Karma Delight 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Joy Drive 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Conquest Bigluck E 4.00 3.4 7-1
2A 2 Donji 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 5 Battle of Evermore 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Fielding Gold 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Battle Midway 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Bunyaan 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.