April 9, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s Cotton | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Two Step | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duel At Dusk | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hennessy Fire | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vivid Image | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True to His Word | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | M J’s Knight | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Syndicate Saver | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 9 | Controlled Fury | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Every Step | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Huascaran | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Jimmy Who | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mess’n With Buddy | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Drummer Don | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 5 | Selling Out | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2X | 7 | Dead Broke | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | S. S. Minnow | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sir Rockport | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2X | 8 | Bessie’s Boy | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tairneach | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Double the Cheers | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m a Factum | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Doddsprivatelabel | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Mr. Romance | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Watch My Dust | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ben of the Bridge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Capt. Grider | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Gemini Man | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Guaranteed | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mokheef | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bubba’s Will | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sight Line | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Popizar | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buzz With Alex | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Toby Girl | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brazilian Symphony | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Single Broad | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mother Ginger | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ignite | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Singer | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Katy Drama | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sally O’Prado | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Richie’s Lady | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Egyptian Rose | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Rainbows Ahead | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donna’s Dunkirk | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Better Than Rubies | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Perfect Cocktail | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Gift | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lazarus Project | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Retrograde | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Scrap Iron Phil | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forman the Foreman | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apolodorodedamasco | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Express | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Play It Again | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bird of Trey | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morally Inflexible | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Court Note | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Tally Mo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Adumato | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | South Sea | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Larco Mar | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Freemark | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Nile Gold | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Return of a Giant | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swell | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | In the Script | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cinderela El Crome | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Got It | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Here’s a Jetpack | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Conquest Harlequin | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Games | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honorable Service | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Pooch | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Negrito | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Drosselmagic | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tipyourwaiterwell | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Morning Guys | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Condo King | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Estrickator | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.