April 8, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Smartee | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kopitar | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surfside Sunset | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rak City | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harliss | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imagineiamfastest | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Bad Gary | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Morning | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tequila Blanco | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brag Dude | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Siege of Vicksburg | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Student | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Stich | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love a Honeybadger | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Dorian | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pied N True | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharona Sunset | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugaratsundown | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Borg | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Crown | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome E K | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Staxx | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Journey | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rmanie’s Grey Suit | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Fallbrook | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Satori | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trio of Champions | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dapper Dixie | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Super Patriot | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Radish | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | South Boot Shirley | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Portrait | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nothing But Heat | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Operandi | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Gone | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Lassie | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Becomes a Queen | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Married by Now | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cinnamon Toast | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Tokyo City Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hoppertunity | 0.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twentytwentyvision | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Nick | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Infobedad (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beaumarchais | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonman | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Rider | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jungle Warfare | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Ax Man | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shivermetimbers | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Call West | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aquila | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dia de Pago | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Calexman | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Skelton Pass | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oiseau de Guerre | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Chatter | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Hosa | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Chuckles | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tina’s Exchange | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Samson | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love My Bud | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rigoletto (SWI) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taste’s Legend | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Omdurman | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heir of Storm | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mesa Sky | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Atomic Action | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lambo Luxx | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bargaining | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Limited Response | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ps Bettin On You | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adventurous | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pumpkin Star | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nine Point Nine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lori’s Attitude | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Little Bit Lovely | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Girl Downstairs | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mar Ann | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Passionate Emotion | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Charming Starlet | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ok Doll | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not too Shiny | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joyable | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Giant Mongolian | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Madame Mousse | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.