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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 8, 2018

April 8, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Analyze This Cat 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Dragic 4.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Shanghai Fantasy 8.00 3.1 6-1
11 9 Dreaming Diamonds 12.00 3.3 6-1
12 10 Ixtepec Town 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Stillwater Cove 3.00 4.1 8-1
13 11 Luna Nueva 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 5 Ghostly Halo 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 6 Boucan 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 8 Lucky Girasol 30.00 6.7 13-1
2 1 Giro Kate 15.00 8 15-1
4 3 Brooklynn’s Shadow 15.00 8.1 15-1
6 4 La Coyota 20.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kiwi Cat 30.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Diamonds for Leah 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Ring Knocker 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Drop Dead Red 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 5 Proud Dixie 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Miss Shawhan 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Play the Break 6.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Daisy Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Stellar Stiletto 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Athens Queen 6.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Toy Moon 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Cafe Mischief 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 8 Our Miss Mo 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Small Row Girl 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Kukoo Kunuku 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Baytown Lindy 10.00 5.9 11-1
12 11 Shanghai Rain 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Luv This Lifestyle 3.50 6.2 12-1
7 6 Run Chuy Run 30.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 No Limit Babe 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Bendecida 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Tofino 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Flawsome 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lady Creed 50.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Brand New Game 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Wild N Ready 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Persepolis 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Kallio 10.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 I’m Pretty Strong 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 War Cabinet 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Necessary 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Joy of Treasure 5.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Snuck Out 5.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Valya’s Vengeance 30.00 7 13-1
2 2 Sippin Kitten 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Off the List (IRE) 12.00 8 15-1
3 3 Altos Street 50.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Mia Bella Rossa 1.20 SCRATCH
13 13 Gingermore 4.00 SCRATCH
16A 16 Yearning 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Surfina 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Vacanzie Inn 4.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 See the Bird 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Prom Theme 5.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Budget Cut 6.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 She Loves Leather 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Ivy’s College Fund 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pomeroys Uprising 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Mercer Slough 8.00 6.6 12-1
8A 8 Desert Maria 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Alittlebourbon 10.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Starship Aquarius 50.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Littlebitcranky 50.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Space Mountain 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Guest Suite 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Icatiro 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Yolo Mon 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Are You Kidding Me 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 One Mean Man 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Shakhimat 10.00 SCRATCH
11 7 Inspector Lynley 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 6 Offering Plan 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 3 Blacktype (FR) 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 2 Master Merion 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Serjeant At Arms (IND) 8.00 4.9 9-1
12 8 Dragon Bay 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Granny’s Kitten 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 5 Coco Mon 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Beaumont S. Presented By Keeneland Select

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dream It Is 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Summer Sunday 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Gas Station Sushi 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Happy Like a Fool 3.50 4.7 9-1
9 9 In the Mood 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Uppercut 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Kelly’s Humor 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Sunny Skies 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Upset Brewing 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ultima D 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cash Out 15.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Thewayiam (FR) 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Rushing Fall 1.40 3.5 7-1
7 6 Heavenly Love 15.00 3.9 7-1
11 9 Goodthingstaketime (IRE) 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Dixie Moon 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Daddy Is a Legend 3.50 5.6 11-1
10 8 Beach Waltz 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Lounge Act 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 She’s Pretty Lucky 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15A 15 Pain in the Arch 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jon Knowsthecode 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Zarski 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Daddy’s Placer 2.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Accusing 12.00 4.9 9-1
7A 7 Clearly Super 3.00 5 9-1
11 11 Road Heat 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Potomac 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Lord Revelstoke 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Sacred Walk 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 The Robert 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Marriage Counselor 12.00 6.4 12-1
13 12 Bluebird Box 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Torba 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Black Bomber 30.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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