April 8, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Merger of Banks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Strong Side | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Chamo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Operator | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Latin Love Bug | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ed’s Quick Cat | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jacqueline D | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Whim | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desirous | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Old Bird | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gia Michael | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rahy’s Bandit | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caoimhe | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Need to Appeal | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Startwithsilver | 0.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Picture Day | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Inheritance | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilburnmoney | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | St. Patrick Frost | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Force | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Source Control | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Love Your Buttons | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Daring Destiny | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | No Regrets | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alexander David | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Honor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Best Buddy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classy Cara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Frau Blucher | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild Witch | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wishing Power | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Speed Khaleesi | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sister Sparrow | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Straw Hat | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seattle Frost | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mommy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | War Canoe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Unbridledadventure | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Vortex Road | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zenbennie | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz R Bella | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hardly Mate | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Eighth Commandment | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beyond Discreet | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Holding Aces | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major League | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Getoffmyback | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buddy Anthony | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Going Strong | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cause for Surprise | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fratello Del Nord | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grassady | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Danger’s Hour S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vulcan’s Forge | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spartiatis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mo Town | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Conquest Panthera | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Projected (GB) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Macagone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fire Away | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hit It Once More | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Secretary At War | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bolting | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Missimpazi | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Princess Alana | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Megalopsychia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Jurere | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Consubstantial | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aly’s All Out | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ruby Warrior | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hot Possebility | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Rashelle | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.