April 7, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Special Dividend | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exchanging Secrets | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bon Heir | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slam Chowder | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soxy Ruby | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quanique | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prompt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ballard High | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Gravitating | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear N Convincing | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mathematician | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Azzedine (FR) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tapit High | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reign Charger | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | County Court | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Freeze the Account | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bass River Road | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brimstone | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toohottoevenspeak | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Chapter | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pegasus Red | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rossie Val | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Heater | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Clause | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Morning Buzz | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Star Red | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Salute | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adulator | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toga Challenger | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chilly Bon Bon | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Milo Milo (ARG) | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Spa Treatment | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exceed the Goal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | March Two Madness | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Pursuing Justice | 1.20 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely La La | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caitriona | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Vicki | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queenofeverything | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kreah’s Ribbon | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Gazelle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Disguise | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sara Street | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokinpaddylassie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Miss Lilly | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Shopping | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Virginia Key | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Excelsior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Harlan Punch | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Control Group | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Lover | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild About Deb | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zanotti | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backsideofthemoon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Blue | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Carter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Slew | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Stuff | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Do Share | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Army Mule | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Favorable Outcome | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Petrov | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fellowship | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Green Gratto | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spartiatis | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Dragon Tattoo | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bay Shore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | National Flag | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Different Style | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aveenu Malcainu | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Engage | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justaholic | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aqua Bel Sar | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Wood Memorial S. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Enticed | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Restoring Hope | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Time Revival | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firenze Fire | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vino Rosso | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heartfullofstars | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Zachary | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evaluator | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catch Twenty Two | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Astounding | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bunyaan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Combat Controller | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Taoiseach | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Karma Delight | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fielding Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Battle of Evermore | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nigel’s Destiny | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strut N Stomp | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Adventist | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nile Prince | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buddy’s Tiz | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Praetereo | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clever Soul | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.