April 6, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Feeling the Heat | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Goldilux | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | You Missed It | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Meal Ticket | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chalky (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dhafeera (GB) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jazaalah | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beauty Divine | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blossom Trail Miss | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Most Amusing | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Distorted | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lontani | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blaze of Glory | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Causeididitmyway | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Littlebitamedal | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cono | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colosi | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Move Over (GB) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Axelrod | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minoso | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vutzak | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Restrainedvengence | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Out of Patience | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | General Ike | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mercer Island | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dukes Up | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentrified | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raagheb | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Looking At Thelake | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Miss Napper Tandy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Subic Bay | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Road Test | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hotsy Dotsy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Apples | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paddy Jean | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Khaleesi (BRZ) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pirate Flag | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Scatty Oh | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sierra Echo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Astro Rider | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Soot | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bourbon Dude | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gringo Star | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trojan Time | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Git On Your Pulpit | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fabrication | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skagit River | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Starship Chewy | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Typhoon Harry | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Groom | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fivetwentyninefund | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tangled Up in Ju | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plane Lucky | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rizzi’s Honors | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Party Hostess | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Velvet Jones | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parasail | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Em Eye | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rockin Ready | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Heaven Escape | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lady Lemon Drop | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rancor | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Movie Moment | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Strike | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Dancer | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Alexus | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fluffhead | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heliocentricity | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Empire | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aha | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.