April 5, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coastline | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rate for Me | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boy Howdy | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reign On (GB) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourque | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Wine and Dine | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kochees | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Valor | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pick One | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Veiled Heat | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Radio Chatter | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yalla | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magicalchic | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madera Jubilee | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonnet’s Joy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookingforthewire | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | City Steel | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sanavi | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Here and There | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shackleford Banks | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roaring Rule | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Avail | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiny Tina | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mixed Emotions | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donut Girl | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | An Eddie Surprise | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Juliet | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Astronomer | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Topaz Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | On a Toot | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Trophy Bridle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sea Glass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Diva La Mousse | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxtail | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Himmah (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gia Lula | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Izzys Express | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Breeze | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Eurasia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tanda’s Joy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Biscotti Gal | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Western Mongolia | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Fresh | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pomp and Party | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jill Madden | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s the D | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockantharos | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tuscany Beauty | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Deliteful | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Project Girl | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Silverspun Pickup | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Princess Dorian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sugaratsundown | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lostintranzlation | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | X S Gold | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Aunt Tillie | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamy Gal | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inland Empire | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Batiquitos | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizzen Glory | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speakers | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Almost Reality | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Streak of Luck | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Encounter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Cayate | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leroy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Perfect Wager | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Soul Owner | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Powerful Thirst | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flynn | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Poco Diablo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Advantageous | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nova | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Going Away Party | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.