April 1, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tristan’s Trilogy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fly to Mars | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Critical Way | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eric the Trojan | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anatolian Heat | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brandothebartender | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Touched by Autism | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wedding Blush | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Conquest Flatterme | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Beauty | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coronado Cool | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scathing | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Cali | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fabrication | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Tiger’s Boy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain N. Barron | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catability | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rhettbutler | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harbor Drive | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raise the Gamble | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chiquilin | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vasilika | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Boom Boom | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saida | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Revenue Virginius | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melissa Jane (GB) | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookinforadanger | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Kendra | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Golden | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winner’s Dream | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Nati | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Adore | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gemini Journey | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Todos Santos | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blondy’s Reward | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ransomed | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outa Here | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gliding By | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spin Me a Kiss | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bowie | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zaffinah (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Allie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Causeway Carolyn | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuerza | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shy Carmelita | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pricedtoperfection | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coco Kisses | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zillinda | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whoa Nessie | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Got an Obsession | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pulpitinthesky | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wandering Patrol | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warm It Up | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Sierra | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Loving Lynda | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whata Flirt | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Donworth | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ike Walker | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deal With It Dude | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camino de Estrella | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bellerin | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Thirty Five | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trapalanda | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Upper Room | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Charming | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seau | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Starr of Quality | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Papa Joe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mongolian Groom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Camps Bay | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Ghost | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodwillambassador | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bartlett Hall | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Point Guard | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Desolation Sound | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nate’s Attack | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack and I | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tre | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unusual Champ | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.