March 31, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Karakorum Elektra S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Princess Palomar |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Christmas Sky |
1.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
She’s So Fine |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Clairvoyant Lady |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Decorator Jenn |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Stakes) – Videogenic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Loyal Heart |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Picture Day |
0.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Exchanging Secrets |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
My Won Love |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Archumybaby |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tropical Joy |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Stakes) – Xtra Heat S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Just Got Out |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Short Kakes |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Angel At War |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Daring Prospect |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Bergen |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Da Wildcat Girl |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – Stud Muffin S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bust Another |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
J S Bach |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Polar Jet |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flowers for Lisa |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shalako |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Danebury |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Monaco |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – Mr. Sinatra S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mills |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Turco Bravo (CHI) |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Control Group |
0.60 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Poshsky |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carlino |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Halloween Horror |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clowney |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Peeping Tom S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Schivarelli |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Guy Ian |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Morning Buzz |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Getoffmyback |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Will Did It |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer Bourbon |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Conquest Twister |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Going Strong |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Stakes) – Caixa Eletronica S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Harlan Punch |
0.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Field of Courage |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eye Luv Lulu |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Helooksthepart |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tusk |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rockford |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Daddy D T |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Battle Midway |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nobody Move |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Sis City S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cats Halo |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Patriotic Endeavor |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Frostie Anne |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Isotope |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Cotton Candy Cutie |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Maddizaskar |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Untaken |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Spring for More |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Stay Fond |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Madame Barbarian |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Stakes) – More To Tell S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Street Heat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Borsa Vento |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
War Eagle’s Return |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Unbridled Daddy |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
12 |
11 |
Praetereo |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Monkey’s Medal |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Nominal Dollars |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
14 |
13 |
Karma Delight |
5.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Shadow Rider |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mister Hayes |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Marriage Fever |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jet Black |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
13 |
12 |
Chilly Bon Bon |
30.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pegasus Red |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Stakes) – Kelly Kip S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Brother Chub |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Tipsy Moose |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
No Hiding Place |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Fortuitous Path |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
6 |
Very Very Stella |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Too Fast to Pass |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Here’s a Jetpack |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Global Positioning |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
13 |
10 |
Holding Aces |
50.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
4 |
Wilshire Star |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
7 |
Mighty One |
50.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
12 |
9 |
Bitumen |
50.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
8 |
Master Macduff |
50.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.