March 30, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Free Kitty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Stan the Man | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Weather Wiz | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ajnadeen | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Untraceable | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pawn It Back | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | New Year’s Wish | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | C K Dexter Haven | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gio Lucky | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Huntsman | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blinded Vision | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Codylicious | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bridey’s Kitten | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corinthian Spirit | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Sheikinator | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Cloud Control | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Bigluck E | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Candy Promises | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alaapatique | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becker’s Galaxy | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Bowman’s Beast | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nolinski | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Fixit | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Niko Strong | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spectacular Kid | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Comeoncomeoncat | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Party | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guick | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Dynamax Prime | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light the Vow | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holy Week | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Great Samurai | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prophet’s Cat | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Story | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Aubrey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Youmakemeblush | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lady Moyne | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Out of Orbit | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Zecha | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Calm | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Wappinger | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wildcatpleasures | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Appealing Henry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Go Big Or Go Home | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 1 | Lucky Town | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Professor Snape | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Holland Road | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Son of Mine | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Set the Trappe | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sicilia Mike | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tribecca | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giantinthemoonlite | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foreset | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Command | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bavaro | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Zealous | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Iwishirish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Over My Head | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Queenofthechannel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Woundwithhereyes | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | Spinyatta | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | This Bird Can Sing | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Anna Rae | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Risk | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | B Three | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Preziosa | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.