March 28, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Formidable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Our Rapidash | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Due | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Dim | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Mocha | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Choice | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zarby’s Derby Day | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pink Twice | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Recreational Use | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zuzor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shea’s Lil Shug | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glide Baby Glide | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quarter Carat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Frosty | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Guitar Star | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookout Mountain | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spartanburg | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Bonne Margie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Vanishing Image | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Game Baby | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Whoz Talkin Now | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch My Smoke | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slideruler | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yonadixie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Deadly Truth | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cash First | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Freakonthelead | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rey Zarbyev | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hula Pie | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Punch Express | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kayne’spotofgold | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dats My Choice | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | She Loves Leather | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Emma Maria | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | I. Damiana | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Meadow Gem | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Hope You Dance | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Air | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Su Su’s Kitten | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Lt. | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Dreamsicle | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Behold the Queen | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | This One Is Bills | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Figure | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Orbiting | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hours Truly | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surely You Jest | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acosta | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manifestant | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Including All | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | McFeely | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul of the Hero | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Run Adrian Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vincitore | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | B On Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Harkins Hall | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nileist | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Mission | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Antrim’s Giant | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Warleggan | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Catauga County | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sho Poke | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Great Sky | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yourdecisionotmine | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kick the Dust Up | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luna Lute | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Glitz N Glam | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | La Reina Isabel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Fancy Pants Jen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Loretta | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nola Fashion | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Yalisha | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frolic | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Pal | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tortuga Rio | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’wild Muffin | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | Roussalka | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Undivided | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Beyond Blame | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Katie’s Reward | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Taylor’s Princess | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Breaking Beauty | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Special Relativity | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jinx Johnson | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Drift Away | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Arabella Bella | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | So Aristocratic | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aubrey | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sir Tiz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rebel Gentleman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zar’s Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Oath to Ruston | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jackpot Johnny | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dude Greeley | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cotton Up | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Stevens | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dealer’s Etbauer | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whathadhappenwuz | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eights Wild | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mob Posse | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moment of Time | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confederate Yell | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Going Country | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.