March 23, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild for Cathrine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | A Thousand Tears | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pam’s Meadow | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ease On West | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Penny Coin Toss | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Salute My Lady | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Magic | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Stride | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vigilante | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twenty Four Seven | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big E | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Resiliency | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beltway | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kit Check | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Dad | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand and Cheer | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reydell | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Desierto | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wild Will | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Campioni | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oater | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Teddy B | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zarski | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Day Six | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Mr. Tickle | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | M C Squared | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pea Shooter Pro | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wine List | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Throwacross | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lucky Cal | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Romeo Lima | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farmerville | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Legion | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tickatee Tickatay | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sir Wedgeanola | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Chorde | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Get It to Geaux | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hansen’s Holiday | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R. V.’s Express | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Buck | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ride | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courtney’s Gift | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Speedmeister | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Waldorf | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Mizztic Tale | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Mas Mischief | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Diamondmaze | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Mo Money | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Deep Explorer | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Santa Americana | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Jax Heritage | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Little B | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elektracutioner | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Song | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Golden Girl | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Tuner | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Yankee | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catherine’s Dream | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nadia Anne | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Calamity Jane | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Cutter | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Valor | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wind Chill Factor | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fairwell Tax Break | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half a Million | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Charlie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rach’slastscarf | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Lutie | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Social Doll | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rhett n’ Scarlett | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jr’s Sauvage | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lil Blinkey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | From Now On | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Custom Bling | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Red Roux | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My First Guitar | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Magic Maniac | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookingforroses | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Glacken | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willy B Fast | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Zephyr | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D J Trumpet | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last of the Luck | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bigboyshowshart | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie de Hustle | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.