March 22, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salty Martini | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Glossy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Off Cycle | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Millie | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ole Black Magic | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diva’s Ransom | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie Ems Pal | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Copper Lady | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Boat | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tether | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exotic Sin | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gunna Get Even | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Born to D’ Wild | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Fashion Amour | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Breezin Bye You | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Katiebmeister | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Halo’s Majesty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | B’s Ten | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Esperanza Diamond | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Agent Provocateur | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Bayou Lily | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glispee | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Peggys Ouest | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beanie’s Baby | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fiftyshadesofnay | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moonlighting Majic | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Spencer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Holiday | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fasten | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yours and Mine | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’kellygoeswild | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Medlin | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good and Sizzlin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mizz Tutu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Swimsuit Issue | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Delicate Lady | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brielle’s Appeal | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Missseventhirteen | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Funny Holiday | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soul Singer | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nutcracker Suite (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Decant | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Singing Aces | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Dorfman | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Samargo | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Heart | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shuster Meister | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | State Treasurer | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Archer One | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bold Star | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Million | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Go Gone Gone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hollow Point | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lawton | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turbo S | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Banana Thief | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day Drinker | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Guess Who Charlie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ransack | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr O’Prado | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Its a Journey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Promise of Spring | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flora Dora | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | C Islandsurprise | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wicked Lick | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lunar Approach | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cumulative | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Surely You Jest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Strike the Flag | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Late Nite Mischief | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Combustible | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Maquina Gris | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vandelay | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shirl’s Ready | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Daddy Bob | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Island | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Believeinholidays | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Bella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Yella Wally Gator | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Color Me Ready | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Pepper Ann | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Pay My Feed Bill | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vidrine’s Choice | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One K Queen | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roadtogold | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rowdy N Pearls | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.