Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 22, 2018

March 22, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Salty Martini 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Just Glossy 4.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Off Cycle 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Our Millie 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ole Black Magic 20.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Diva’s Ransom 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Jackie Ems Pal 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Copper Lady 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Daddy Boat 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Tether 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Exotic Sin 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Gunna Get Even 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Born to D’ Wild 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Freda’s Smooth Air 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Old Fashion Amour 8.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Breezin Bye You 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Katiebmeister 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Halo’s Majesty 8.00 SCRATCH
10 7 B’s Ten 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Esperanza Diamond 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 4 Agent Provocateur 3.50 3.9 7-1
11 8 Bayou Lily 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Mi Copa Rebosa 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Glispee 12.00 5.3 10-1
12 9 Peggys Ouest 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Beanie’s Baby 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Fiftyshadesofnay 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Moonlighting Majic 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Baby Spencer 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Sea Holiday 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Fasten 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Yours and Mine 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 D’kellygoeswild 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Medlin 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Good and Sizzlin 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mizz Tutu 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Swimsuit Issue 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Delicate Lady 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Brielle’s Appeal 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Missseventhirteen 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 4 Funny Holiday 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Soul Singer 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Nutcracker Suite (IRE) 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Decant 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Singing Aces 12.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Dorfman 1.40 2.5 5-1
9 8 Samargo 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Full Heart 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Shuster Meister 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 State Treasurer 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Archer One 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Bold Star 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 One Million 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Go Gone Gone 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hollow Point 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 6 Lawton 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Turbo S 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Banana Thief 4.50 4 7-1
3 3 Day Drinker 6.00 5 9-1
9 8 Guess Who Charlie 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Ransack 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Mr O’Prado 10.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Its a Journey 6.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Promise of Spring 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Flora Dora 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 C Islandsurprise 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Wicked Lick 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Lunar Approach 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 No Cacha Na (CHI) 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cumulative 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Surely You Jest 6.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Strike the Flag 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Late Nite Mischief 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Combustible 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 La Maquina Gris 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Vandelay 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Shirl’s Ready 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Daddy Bob 20.00 6 11-1
3 2 Big Island 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Believeinholidays 10.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Amazing Bella 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Yella Wally Gator 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 Color Me Ready 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 My Pepper Ann 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 5 Pay My Feed Bill 2.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Vidrine’s Choice 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 One K Queen 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Roadtogold 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Rowdy N Pearls 12.00 6.1 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.