March 18, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Half Way Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Helen Wheels | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girls Life | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shezjuslikeannie | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Melissa | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amore’s Prayer | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Band | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cool Kitty | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vinton’s Vin Geaux | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Starry Ide Elaine | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gia Mama Mia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Heartbreak Hill | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Very Elegant | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Mia Bella Rossa | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | I Hope You Dance | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lady Soul | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | I. Damiana | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Lu Lu | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vadoma | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Surprenante | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ty C | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Beau Rouge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Ida’s Warrior | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Judge N Ruler | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prayer Boy | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Frazier Double | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Flashy Image | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Lion | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss You Jo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Arroyo Blanco | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Internal Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Apollo’s Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Roar of the Lion | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holly Field | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aviator Parks | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | All About Voodoo | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mansoor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Good Intent | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Candle | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run From the Nun | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coastal Highway | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Tiz | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taichung Bobby | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R K Gee | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Court’s Revenge | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prodigy’s Pride | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bevolution | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cofveve | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pulledafastone | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Richie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Higher Factor | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gemacho | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hellofaguy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silver Giant | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noisey Boy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Something Bird | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bold Chrome | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mun Up | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mucho Mas Grande | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | French Command | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Timingiseverything | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cookies Are Good | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spanish Arch | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Gun | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A He’s an O’Prado | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sandana Heat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Tyree | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Low Places | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taking Charge | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie Ballado | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sage’s Epiphany | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Bonne Margie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Tapnfire | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yankee Pride | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Havinfunyet | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kitchen Boss | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Yooou Den | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cause You Can | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First Embrace | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go Go Goose | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Purely Blessed | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | T’s Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cimarron Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Junes’s Choice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Minion Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | D’ Wildamber | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Rippinlips | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Abboccato | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Half a Sugar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Casino Beach | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Delores | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Carlena | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dixie Misty | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clara’s Reign | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Send Her Marie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mary Bell | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.