March 18, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pirate’s Treasure | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Givetheman a Cigar | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zonic | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quest for Fire | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carthon | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Run | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amanda Lane | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catchmewithasmile | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’sakittykat | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bayshore Beauty | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Like Your Style | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiffany’s Vision | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catania Rose | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Low Is Laine | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s So Fine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Smile Big | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Total Control | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Summer Punch | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forever Liesl | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sandy Strikes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 7 | Full of Mine | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Independent Worker | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ode to the Hunt | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Surprise | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | St. Patrick Frost | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Twenty Nine | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Benny Big Boy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lady Suebee | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior of Light | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twofer | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coexistence | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diva’s Revenge | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Problem Solving | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peace Opportunity | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Major League | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Nap | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Twister | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valyrian | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fratello Del Nord | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chilly Bon Bon | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breeze Burner | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Karma | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hexameter | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leah’s Dream | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gobi | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | For Honor | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banty’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hay Field | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curiousncuriouser | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Sizzle | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Cake Is a Lie | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugarille | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eighth Commandment | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Groton St Scout | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Robin’s Destiny | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madeline’s Hope | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Passporttovictory | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Impazible Woman | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Whim | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Old Bird | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dune Buggy | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Desert Affair | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Thirtydaysinjune | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forres Lily | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rahy’s Bandit | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stars Wilburn | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.