March 17, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swift Krystal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Malibu Song | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ravish | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shaker Baker | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | N. D. Free | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Beret | 50.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soco Unbridled | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Roskilde | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hotfoot | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Demands Attention | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Wings | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildwood Dejavu | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brave Benny | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swamp Ruler | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hot Zone | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Off the List (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silla Manila | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Avoree Noel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lynah Rink | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sirenusa | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lyrical Tale | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Valya’s Vengeance | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boom Pow Pow | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fairly Honest | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Garci | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny’s Funny | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarabi | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soft Cheese | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Little Mizzy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Daria’s Angel | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ashy Taty | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Quality | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Operatic | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Moon | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Hot Momma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | She’screative | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Taylor’s Princess | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smart Response | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Arabella Bella | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Santino | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Perfection Cat | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Days | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Holly Go Lightly | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vanilla Cat | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Eye Craft | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Garden | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’ve Got Grace | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naples Legacy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bixby Lou | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Oats | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strombolian | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pearl of the Nile | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Repeat Repeat | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of a Saint | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Westwood’s Wizard | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nice Not Nice | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | British Humor | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patriot Drive | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Humor | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arctic Joy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zorzor | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harbor Pilot | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Norco | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Control Stake | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Medal of Courage | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Funny Biz | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indian Lover | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Infinite Mischief | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tarpys Zapper | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whyruawesome | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forevamo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fish Trappe Road | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Red Camelia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cajun English | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Pacific Pink | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inveniam Viam | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dontmesswithjoanne | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Viva Vegas | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Safari Calamari | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pera | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | P Boo | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Temple Shadow | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap City Baby | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Believeinsomething | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Snapper Bite | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jake the Band Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Double Barrel Man | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Grit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outback Jack | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Deadly Ruler | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Ransom | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zendelphian | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wabash Cannonball | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.