March 17, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Summer Bourbon | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Heaven’s Runway | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alright Alright | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Salute | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of New York | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Will Did It | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glennwood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Go Get the Munny | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gleason | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Factor This | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | California Night | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Infield Is In | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mad Dog Matters | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Miss Mi Mi | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Oozle | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Creative Princess | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fingerpaint | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | D J’s Favorite | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vilma | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wilshire Star | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karma Delight | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Iron | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kenyan | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spring Emperor | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bunyaan | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starry Messenger | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Frostie Anne | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silly Sister | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barrier to Entry | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Literata | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andesine | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Hayne No Gayne | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Irish Creed | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raging Fire | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Phantomofthefrost | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Retonova | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Panic Attack | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Escape | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guy American Dream | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P J Advantage | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King Koa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Nobody Move | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Terry O Geri | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Backyard Heaven | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mr. Buff | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Donji | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Starship Zeus | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eastport | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cumberland River | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Correction S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nisha | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rowd E Allie | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Quezon | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Startwithsilver | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sounds Delicious | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Summer Reading | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spice Lady | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Miss Chiff | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bluegrass Flag | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Anydayismyday | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pimm’s Cup | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Croatia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Barefoot Angel | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Port Arch | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luzinski | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Big Auk | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tammany Giant | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Clonedsimmard | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ed’s Quick Cat | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jolly | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.