March 16, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aggravator | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blazer | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Greatness | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Army Grey | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dionysus | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shermaesque Flag | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Reserve | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saintly Cry | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Performer | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strikingly Smart | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Thirsty | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Selene’s Argument | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kodiak Sky | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waft | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kohensrising | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Baby Collette | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sandstorm | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Talike | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Magnolia | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lavoyageuse Time | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Batsheva | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Flor | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Biblical Strength | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’ Kingfish | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | So Sorry Ruston | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valid Pursuit | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whoz Talkin Now | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Choice | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skip the Pinot | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Red Cat | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Rapidash | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Mocha | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Eminence | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Country | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take the Count | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Zone | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Tom | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | App | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taybo Nation | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Money Max | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 14 | Rainwalker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Kingston Terrace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Tapnfire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Lucy B | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 11 | D J Soul Sista | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Honey Bunny | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Maryblueeyes | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Angie’s Prim Lady | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Meetmeforasmoke | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Little Snip | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Dewyalovemenow | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | A Great Vice | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Rebel Woman | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Our Toons | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luna | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lesley May | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Memorial Drive | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Haynesfest | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Upset Brewing | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Costa Del Sol | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hurry Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Mischief | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Point of America | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Cowboy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sensational Zip | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby Jack | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Nation | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Suspicious Eyes | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Joe | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | State Treasurer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Uncommon Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Senor Guitar | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lion Heart Legend | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Il Est Vite | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Logan’s Reward | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Brahms | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bowknot Billy | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Louisianagentleman | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Robert E. Lee | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Enough Said | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gary | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doodee | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vicks First Pick | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.