March 16, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tilt | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Lincoln | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoard | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freeze the Account | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Swords | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arewehavingfunyet | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expressly | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest So True | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Bounty | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shakesperian Dream | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Milaya | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blame Us All | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Joy Drive | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Indian Soldier | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peculiar Sensation | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Light the Vow | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conquest Expresso | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 5 | Still Krz | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Toga Challenger | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Very Very Stella | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Timber | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Kranz | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Square Shooter | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benevolence | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Belt | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Have Another | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Miah | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imasuperstar | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strueves Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Going Strong | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Too Fast to Pass | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dr Luber’s Kiss | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holding Aces | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roman Revival | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Hiding Place | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bourne Country | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bear Clause | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Angry Moon | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Giro | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candid Desire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wake Up in Malibu | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ostrolenka | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loki’s Vengeance | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cody’s Notes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Swivel | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taoiseach | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J J’s Dreaming | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zabaione | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colorado Grandslam | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dooley | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Orphan Miracle | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Power Boss | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Curlin’s New Moon | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whyamisolucky | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Boy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pragmatist | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Chamo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corinthian Spirit | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sidewinder | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.